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Strategic Brief: Transatlantic De-escalation, Apple’s AI Hardware, and India’s EV Pivot

Welcome. Today’s intelligence briefing centers on a collective sigh of relief from global markets. The threat of an immediate transatlantic trade war has receded, allowing business leaders to refocus on the structural shifts in AI hardware and Asian supply chains. Market Sentiment: Optimistic. The "TACO" trade ("Trump Always Chickens Out") has seemingly paid off again. Markets rallied sharply after President Trump announced a "framework" deal with NATO regarding Greenland, pausing the threatened tariffs on European allies. The Strategy Digest Geopolitics: The Greenland De-escalation President Trump has officially paused the 10% tariffs on European nations after announcing a "framework of a future deal" with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte. While Denmark maintains it will not sell Greenland, the "framework" likely involves enhanced US military access and shared control over rare earth mi...
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AI is No Longer Tech. It is Heavy Industry. Nvidia's Message At Davos

The Davos Signal: It is Time to Pour the Concrete The Davos Signal: It is Time to Pour the Concrete January 21, 2026 | Potomac, MD | By Shashi Bellamkonda I usually scroll past the headlines coming out of Davos. It often feels like a disconnect from the reality my clients face every day. But this week, a specific conversation made me stop and listen. It was Larry Fink of BlackRock and Jensen Huang of NVIDIA sitting on a stage together. This was not just two CEOs chatting. It was a handshake between massive capital and massive compute. If you look past the buzzwords, the signal they sent to the market was loud and clear. The "hype" phase of AI is over. We have entered the construction phase. The Lamppost Theory You know I like taking photos of lampposts. They are simple, boring infrastructure. We do not notice them until it gets dark. But someone had to dig the hole, pour the concrete, and wire the grid to...

Market Briefing: OpenAI Launches Ads, Amazon’s AI Shopping, and India’s Export Data

Welcome. Today’s intelligence scan reveals a definitive shift in the AI economy: the move from pure subscription revenue to ad-supported models is officially underway. Simultaneously, geopolitical friction—from Greenland to the Red Sea—is forcing a re-evaluation of global supply chains. Market Sentiment: Volatile. Equities and bonds are selling off globally as the "Greenland tariff" threat introduces new friction with European allies. However, the Tech sector remains laser-focused on infrastructure build-outs and new monetization layers ( Bloomberg , Axios ). The Tech Strategy Digest 1. OpenAI’s Monetization Pivot OpenAI has begun offering ad inventory to a select group of advertisers, charging based on "views" rather than the industry-standard "clicks." This trial, launching in early February, asks for commitments under $1 million and signals the start of a self-service ad platform ( The Information ). Strategic Implication...

The Quantum Leap: Bengaluru’s 108-Qubit Win & OpenAI’s Enterprise Pivot

Welcome. Today’s briefing signals a maturing of the AI ecosystem. We are moving from software hype to hard infrastructure reality—whether it’s the physical constraints of the US power grid or the installation of quantum hardware in Bengaluru. The era of "AI Utility" is being built on heavy metal. Tech Sentiment: Focused. The market is rewarding efficiency and infrastructure over experimentation. Layoffs at Meta’s Reality Labs contrast sharply with massive investments in grid connectivity and specialized AI hardware ( The Workers Rights ). Global Tech Digest Enterprise AI: The GPT-5.2 Integration ServiceNow has announced a deepening of its partnership with OpenAI, integrating new "GPT-5.2" models directly into enterprise workflows. This move aims to automate complex decision-making across IT and HR functions rather than just generating text ( OpenAI ). Strategic Implication: This is t...

Strategic Brief: The 'Greenland Risk' and the End of Ad-Free AI

Welcome. Today’s briefing analyzes a volatile start to the week where geopolitical ambition is directly impacting market stability. From the Arctic to AI infrastructure, the rules of engagement are shifting rapidly. Market Sentiment: Pessimistic. Global markets are retreating as the threat of a new transatlantic trade war overshadows earnings, with gold and silver hitting record highs as investors seek safe havens (Bloomberg). The Digest 1. Geopolitics: The 'Greenland' Trade War Risk Transatlantic tensions have spiked following President Trump's threat to impose a 10% tariff on eight European nations—including France, Germany, and the UK—over their opposition to his Greenland acquisition plans. The EU is currently preparing retaliatory tariffs on €93 billion ($108 billion) of US goods and is pausing the ratification of existing trade deals (Bloomberg, Morning Brew). Strategic Implication: Supply chain leaders must immediately model a 10% cos...

Why 2026 is the year we stopped treating AI like a magic button and started treating it like a teammate.

We Tried to Automate Everything. It Didn’t Work. Do you remember the promise? We were told we could just type a prompt, walk away, and the AI would build the app, write the report, and run the company. Well, Anthropic just released their January 2026 Economic Index , and it turns out we tried that... and we didn't like the results. The trend has officially flipped. We are done with "Automation." We are back to "Collaboration." ❖ The Leadership Anthropic is run by the Amodei siblings (Dario and Daniela). They are the "Safety First" folks of the AI world. While others move fast and break things, they move deliberately to make sure the AI actually does what you want it to do. The "Quality Over Quantity" Shift For a long time, tech companies only cared about "Volume"—how many chats, how many words. This report changes the game. Anthropic introduced "Economic Primitives," which is just a nerdy way of asking: ...

The API Tax is Optional: Why 2026 is the Year of Owned Intelligence.

We have spent the last three years in an "API rental" economy . If you wanted intelligence, you rented it from a major provider, paid the meter, and accepted the latency. That era is closing. The news from this week—specifically from Nous Research and Vercel —signals a maturity in the open source ecosystem that goes beyond hobbyist tinkering. We are seeing the infrastructure arrive that makes running your own AI not just possible, but potentially more profitable than renting it. Here are the three developments that matter for your Q1 roadmap. 1. The Model: Competence at the Edge (NousCoder-14B) About Nous Research: Nous Research is an independent AI research lab focused on developing open-source models and pushing the boundaries of what's possible at smaller model sizes. Their focus on efficiency and quality has made them a key player in the "small but mighty" AI movement. Nous Research has released NousCoder-1...
Shashi Bellamkonda
Shashi Bellamkonda
Fractional CMO, marketer, blogger, and teacher sharing stories and strategies.
I write about marketing, small business, and technology — and how they shape the stories we tell. You can also find my writing on Shashi.co , CarryOnCurry.com , and MisunderstoodMarketing.com .